Saturday, June 27, 2009

Tripple Play

Your mission, should you decide to accept it, is to name all three people in the photo. I can not give any help, or tell you whether any parts of your answer are correct. I can simply tell you if the total entry is correct or not.
Now, a few words about last week's poll. I will break it down for you below.

Raw Results:

Men's Votes:
Hire a plumber: 92
Do it yourself: 92
Total participants: 184

Women's Votes:
Hire a plumber: 87
Do it yourself: 35
Total Participants: 125

Now, those are the raw numbers, and we need to work through them to get the normalized results to remove any errors in the data. First thing, notice that while the readership of the blog is roughly split between men and women, 184 people responded to the Men's poll, while only 125 responded to the Women's poll. Since readership is even, how can we possibly explain these results? Simply stated, there is a bias in the data in the following way. Women have had such BAD experiences with their husbands trying to fix things at home, that many of them have voted in BOTH the Man's poll and the Women's poll. In order to correct the data, we must assume that there were equal numbers of Men and Women voting, so there must have been 59 women who voted in the Man's poll. Naturally, these would be the women who were against me fixing the sink, so they voted in both polls. So, we must normalize the Man Poll, by removing those 59 votes (all of them for me calling the plumber). Also, since this group of women voters also voted in the Women's poll, and they are obviously biased and unable to answer the question objectively, we must remove their first votes in the Women's pole as well. When we do this, we come up with the following "Corrected Normalized Actual Results"

Corrected Normalized Actual Results:

Men:
Call Plumber: 33
Fix Yourself: 92
Women:
Call Plumber: 28
Do it Yourself: 35

So there you have it folks, the results indicate an OVERWHELMING vote of confidence that I should fix the sink myself. In fact, I think I shall say that I have a broad MANDATE to fix the sink, with enthusiastic support across all genders and socioeconomic groups. The readership is urging, no, DEMANDING that I do it myself. I will tell Mrs. PJM, that the People have Spoken . . . The People Speak with One Voice, and say, Fix it Yourself, PJM. More later, but for now ON WITH THE MYSTERY PERSON CONTEST!

24 comments:

  1. Wow, I have no idea who the people in your picture are.... but let me just say that if things don't work out for you in your current position, I am sure you will do well running Iranian elections!

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  2. Leoal,
    Actually I was thinking about Washington DC as I was doing the data analysis.
    PJM

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  3. Is anyone even playing today?
    PJM

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  4. Yes, but I'm also having lunch. Thanks for asking. How did you test go?

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  5. I am sure I did OK, but these tests always make me mad. Some questions were very subjective, asking for the "Best" answer. It was for Technology Applications certification.
    PJM

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  6. Was this for a teaching certification then?

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  7. Yes, I already took the math test, and still have one more test to take. No wonder there is a teacher shortage . . . they make it very hard to get into the system.
    PJM

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  8. Just terrible. But from what I hear, Texas has been recruiting laid off Californians to come teach in your state.

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  9. The man on the left is Lockwood Todd, cousin of Mary Lincoln and the boys are Willie and Tad Lincoln.

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  10. Gina,
    WOW, you are good. I did not even get a chance to insult anyone this contest. This was a hard one.

    Great Job! You have won a number of these.

    I will really have to work hard next week to stump you all.
    PJM

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  11. I love Abe Lincoln - we call our dining room the "Lincoln Dining Hall" because of all the decorations of him in it, so I thought that it looked like it could be Tad. Great picture!

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  12. Gina,
    That would explain your avitar.
    PJM

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  13. Once again, well done Gina.

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  14. Washington DC elections?

    (It kind of reminded me of Minnesota....)


    Great job Gina, well done...)

    PJM, I thought Texas was on the leading edge for allowing professionals outside the teaching field to get accreditation?


    Hope it went well...

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  15. Ross,
    I have found the local school district to be extremely accomodating, but the overall state system is hostile towards an "outsider" wanting to teach. It is at least a two year process, costs many thousands of dollars, and the system acts as if you are some sort of idiot. It utterly ignores the possibility that a professional might bring unique and valuable perspective to the classroom.
    PJM

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  16. I'm showing my age here, but I remember when Ross Perot ran the first time, one of the things he touted was the fact that Texas allowed outsiders an easier path into the teaching profession. For the very reason you have mentioned - bringing in a different perspective, by someone who may be able to share their enthusiasm and skills with the students...

    Maybe it was just a pilot program in one county...

    Keep up the good work!

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  17. Great job Gina! I was disappointed I couldn't "play" today. My computer has been naughty - shuts off all by itself whenever it feels like it. So, being a self-proclaimed computer geek I took the side panel off, cleaned out a lot of dust bunnies (enough for a small farm), made sure the fans were working properly so it wasn't overheating, and felt sure I had fixed the problem. Well....it's still shutting itself off and NOW I don't have an Internet connection! Aaargh! I'm telling you PJM, there is a time to fix things and a time to call an expert. A wise person knows the difference. I had to go to my daughter's house and hijack her computer just long enough to write a few notes. Hopefully I'll be back in the contest next week.

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  18. PJM, that has to be the most convoluted explanation of voting results (or anything else, for that matter)I have ever seen in my LIFE! You have "out explained" any student I've ever had, including my own kids.

    Definitely a job in the government someplace in your future. Ours, theirs, it doesn't matter.

    After the last fiasco, if you don't call a plumber, just call a lawyer. You're going to need one - a good one.

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  19. Heather,
    Try doing a system restore to several days ago. You might have gotten some malicious software. I had this happen a few days ago. I did a system restore, and then ran the microsoft onecare, and it took care of it. I know to never open attachments and all that, so not sure how the stuff was put on my computer.

    http://onecare.live.com/site/en-us/default.htm

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  20. Lady Anne,
    I worked for a government R&D agency for 17 years. I learned from the Masters.
    PJM

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  21. Thanks PJM, I was going to try your suggestion but my son-in-law is going to completely wipe the computer and reload the programs for me. Luckily I save all my files to a "stick" so I won't lose anything important.

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  22. whew,,,,,thought we lost heather to a tornado,glad shes back, kinda sorta,,lol,
    oldbear.

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  23. I do not know what to say - this is masterpiece.

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